New Hampshire’s unique political landscape is set to be tested once again as the state heads to the polls on November 5. With Republicans holding a trifecta in state government and Democrats dominating all four Congressional offices, the Granite State is known for its independent streak and propensity to subvert expectations. The state is classified as a swing state that leans Democratic, with a history of voting blue in presidential elections. However, New Hampshire voters have recently shown a tendency to vote Republican in state elections.
Despite a double-digit lead for Vice President Kamala Harris in presidential polling, national parties have not heavily invested in the state, focusing more on other swing states. Attention has shifted to down-ballot races, with the gubernatorial election being the most competitive in the country according to the Cook Political Report. Former Sen. Kelly Ayotte and former mayor Joyce Craig are in a tight race to replace incumbent Gov. Chris Sununu, with current polling showing Craig leading by just 1%. Polls also predict Democrats to win both congressional races comfortably.
In addition to the presidential race and state politics, New Hampshire has competitive races for the Executive Council, state House of Representatives, and state Senate. Republicans are expected to maintain their majority in these races due to gerrymandered districts. Dartmouth will also have a presence in the elections, with government professor Russell Muirhead and Institute for Writing and Rhetoric lecturer Ellen Rockmore running unopposed for Grafton County District 12.
New Hampshire’s importance in national politics has been highlighted in the past, serving as a pivotal state in the 2000 presidential election. With its reputation for independent voting and swing tendencies, Democrats are advised not to take the state for granted in the upcoming elections.
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